Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga1 - 2Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 3-1 Braga
Saturday, September 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Braga 1-1 Napoli
Napoli will be the favourites on Wednesday night, but Braga are a very talented side, and this will not be a straightforward match for the Italians, who have dropped points in their last two league matches. It would not be a surprise to see an away win, but we are backing the points to be shared in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Braga had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Napoli |
28.01% ( 0) | 25.95% | 46.04% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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