MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 01:35:55| >> :120:10570:10570:
Larne
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Inver Park
HJK logo

Larne
2 - 2
HJK Helsinki

Bonis (65' pen.), Thomson (87')
Donnelly (47'), Bonis (73'), Want (110')
FT
(aet)
Ollila (26'), Want (96' og.)
Raitala (64'), Tenho (74'), Ollila (79'), Radulovic (107')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Larne and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League

We say: Larne 0-1 HJK Helsinki (HJK Helsinki to win 2-0 on aggregate)

The hosts were outplayed for the most part in the first leg, and while they should put on a better showing at home, it seems unlikely that they will be able to overturn this tie. The visitors will prioritse keeping a clean sheet here, and if they get an early goal, we can see them sitting back and holding on to their lead to take their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Larne had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%).

Result
LarneDrawHJK Helsinki
29.27% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 42.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 44.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)61.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)37.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.73% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.57%
Score Analysis
    Larne 29.26%
    HJK Helsinki 42.19%
    Draw 28.53%
LarneDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 6.51%
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 29.26%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 13.34%
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-3 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.08%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 42.19%

How you voted: Larne vs HJK Helsinki

Larne
21.8%
Draw
16.4%
HJK Helsinki
61.8%
55
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2023 5pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
HJK Helsinki
1-0
Larne
Radulovic (3' pen.)
Tenho (28')

Bolger (31'), Cosgrove (46'), Want (89'), Donnelly (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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