Championship

Championship | Gameweek 25

Jan 20, 2021 at 7pm UK

Griffin Park

Brentford
1 - 0
Luton

Ghoddos (14')
Mbeumo (32'), Toney (81'), Toney (90+5')
Toney (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bradley (39')
Lockyer (90+5')

Thomas Frank: 'We had to suffer against Luton Town'

Luton dominated the second 45 minutes as the Bees held on for a 1-0 win.

Jan 20, 22:35

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brentford in this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Luton Town
58.46%	24.31%	17.23%

Both teams to score 43.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.52%

56.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.52%

77.47%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81%

19.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.13%

50.87%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.62%

46.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.98%

82.01%

Score Analysis

Brentford 58.44%

Luton Town 17.23%

Draw 24.31%

Brentford	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 14.69% 2-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 5.13% 4-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.97% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.44%	1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.31%	0-1 @ 6.84% 1-2 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.11% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.4% Total : 17.23%