Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
3 - 1
Hull City

Byram (9'), Summerville (88' pen.), James (90+7')
Firpo (27'), Summerville (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Carvalho (34')
Tufan (54'), Michael Seri (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 2-2 Leeds
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hull City

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Stoke
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Hull City

At some point, this Hull side may click back into gear given the quality that they have in the final third. However, this is the worst possible game for them at this stage, and we do not see them challenging a relentless Leeds side at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Hull City
66.49% ( -0.11)	19.69% ( 0.11)	13.81% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.38% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.81% (

-0.45)

44.18% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.44% (

-0.44)

66.56% (

0.44)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.61% (

-0.17)

12.39% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.74% (

-0.35)

38.26% (

0.35)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.37% (

-0.27)

43.63% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.18% (

-0.22)

79.82% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 66.48%

Hull City 13.81%

Draw 19.69%

Leeds United	Draw	Hull City
2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 66.48%	1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.69%	0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 13.81%