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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
63.36% ( -0.76) | 19.45% ( 0.43) | 17.18% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 58.59% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.86% ( -1.5) | 36.14% ( 1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.75% ( -1.66) | 58.25% ( 1.66) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.13% ( -0.62) | 10.87% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.01% ( -1.4) | 34.99% ( 1.4) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% ( -0.56) | 34.27% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% ( -0.6) | 70.97% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.1) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.79% Total : 63.36% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 17.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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