Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road

Luton
1 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Naismith (37' pen.)
Bradley (26'), Naismith (49'), Onyedinma (56'), Burke (63'), Campbell (63'), Shea (69'), Adebayo (90+3')
Bradley (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Garner (44'), Davis (63'), Worrall (74'), Figueiredo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Luton
Monday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Sheffield United	46	18	75
6	Luton Town	46	8	75
7	Middlesbrough	46	9	70

Nottingham Forest

Last Six:

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, May 29 at 4.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Huddersfield Town	46	17	82
4	Nottingham Forest	46	33	80
5	Sheffield United	46	18	75

We said: Luton Town 1-3 Nottingham Forest

While both clubs will feel under pressure to record a win on Friday, the stakes are arguably higher for the home side as they look to fend off the chasing pack. Nevertheless, we simply cannot back against Forest versus any other club right now, leading us to predict another victory and more goals for Cooper's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Nottingham Forest
39.23%	27.85%	32.91%

Both teams to score 47.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.02%

57.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.33%

78.67%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22%

28.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.38%

64.62%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24%

32.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68%

69.31%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 39.23%

Nottingham Forest 32.91%

Draw 27.85%

Luton Town	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.7% Total : 39.23%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.91%