Championship

Championship | Gameweek 13

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 2
Blackburn

Harding (3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rankin-Costello (22'), Brittain (51')
Dolan (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Saturday's 1-0 win was somewhat of a rarity for Blackburn Rovers, who have seen plenty of goals at both ends of the pitch in most of their Championship outings so far this season, and we anticipate another relatively eventful affair on Tuesday with the visitors' back-to-back wins perhaps inspiring a narrow triumph at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 45%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
30.55% ( 1.62)	24.45% ( -0.09)	45% ( -1.53)

Both teams to score 57.85% (

1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.25% (

1.25)

44.75% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.89% (

1.19)

67.11% (

-1.19)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

1.74)

27.68% (

-1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

2.18)

63.23% (

-2.18)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.99% (

-0.15)

20.01% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.79% (

-0.24)

52.2% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Millwall 30.55%

Blackburn Rovers 45%

Draw 24.44%

Millwall	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.55%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.46) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 45%