Championship

Championship | Gameweek 32

Feb 14, 2024 at 8pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 4
Ipswich

McNamara (60'), Saville (84'), Leonard (88')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Broadhead (24'), Harding (32' og.), Moore (45+1'), Al-Hamadi (90+3' pen.)
Davis (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Millwall
Sunday, February 11 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 West Brom
Saturday, February 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-2 Ipswich Town

Millwall are failing to convert decent performances into results, and the Lions' tough run of fixtures continues with the visit of Ipswich on Wednesday night. The Tractor Boys are beginning to stumble in the race for automatic promotion to the Premier League, but we believe that McKenna's men will record a much-needed maximum at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Ipswich Town
32.71% ( -0.31)	25.88% ( 0.1)	41.4% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 53.95% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.76% (

-0.5)

50.23% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.81% (

-0.45)

72.19% (

0.45)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

-0.45)

28.98% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.12% (

-0.56)

64.88% (

0.56)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.97% (

-0.12)

24.02% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.71% (

-0.17)

58.28% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Millwall 32.71%

Ipswich Town 41.4%

Draw 25.88%

Millwall	Draw	Ipswich Town
1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.71%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.4%