Championship

Championship | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2023 at 12pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
3 - 1
Millwall

Rowe (25'), Sargent (49'), Barnes (56')
Rowe (45+1'), Omobamidele (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Emakhu (90+1')
Mitchell (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Millwall

While it is still early days in Norwich's season, the signs are there that improvements have been made under Wagner. Millwall have the qualities to earn a share of the spoils at Carrow Road, yet we feel that the home side will battle their way to another three points in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Millwall
42.46% ( 0.44)	28.25% ( 0.24)	29.28% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 45.51% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.64% (

-1.07)

60.36% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.49% (

-0.81)

80.51% (

0.82)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

-0.27)

28.12% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.21% (

-0.34)

63.79% (

0.34)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31% (

-1.11)

36.69% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52% (

-1.13)

73.48% (

1.13)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 42.46%

Millwall 29.28%

Draw 28.24%

Norwich City	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 42.46%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.24%	0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.85% Total : 29.28%