Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
3 - 1
Sheff Weds

Sainz (7'), Barnes (48'), Rowe (72')
Fisher (30')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cadamarteri (32')
Palmer (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Preston
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

While Norwich City should fancy themselves to get past the division's 23rd-placed side at Carrow Road, they are lacking any momentum under Wagner this season, while the Owls travel to Norfolk with a renewed sense of confidence and optimism. On the back of their first consecutive wins of the season, we would not be surprised to see Rohl's men pull off somewhat of an upset on Wednesday and make it three on the bounce as they aim to cut the gap to safety. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
49.28% ( -0.42)	25.62% ( 0.21)	25.1% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 50.06% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.92% (

-0.64)

53.08% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.33% (

-0.54)

74.66% (

0.54)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.44% (

-0.44)

21.56% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.36% (

-0.68)

54.64% (

0.68)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.82% (

-0.16)

36.18% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.03% (

-0.17)

72.96% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 49.27%

Sheffield Wednesday 25.1%

Draw 25.61%

Norwich City	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.27%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.1%