Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
2 - 1
QPR

Edozie (30'), Armstrong (64')
Manning (11'), Armstrong (19'), Alcaraz (29'), Fraser (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Colback (32')
Duke-McKenna (87'), Field (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Plymouth 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, August 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

While QPR have prevailed in some important away fixtures under Ainsworth, we feel that it will not be the case at the weekend. Southampton already have a squad capable of pushing for promotion this season and we expect them to cruise to victory at their home ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
44.67% ( -0.5)	26.78% ( -0.23)	28.55% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 49.26% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.61% (

1.22)

55.39% (

-1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.41% (

0.99)

76.59% (

-0.99)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32% (

0.3)

24.68% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.78% (

0.41)

59.21% (

-0.41)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41% (

1.24)

34.59% (

-1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69% (

1.29)

71.31% (

-1.29)

Score Analysis

Southampton 44.66%

Queens Park Rangers 28.55%

Draw 26.78%

Southampton	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.66%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.55%