Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 2
Ipswich

Asprilla (12')
Kayembe (46'), Issouf Bayo (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hirst (24'), Morsy (80')
Chaplin (39'), Hirst (45'), Luongo (53'), Hutchinson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 1-2 Ipswich Town

Ipswich kept their first clean sheet in nine matches last time out, but we cannot imagine them making it successive shutouts on Tuesday night. Another one of the division's big hitters arrives at Vicarage Road in midweek, and we feel that Watford will be unable to stop the Ipswich juggernaut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Ipswich Town
44.04% ( 0.01)	24.72% ( 0)	31.24% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.27% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.35% (

-0.02)

45.65% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.02% (

-0.02)

67.98% (

0.02)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.2% (

-0.01)

20.8% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.54% (

-0.01)

53.46% (

0.01)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.02)

27.68% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

-0.03)

63.23% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Watford 44.04%

Ipswich Town 31.24%

Draw 24.71%

Watford	Draw	Ipswich Town
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.04%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.24%