Championship

Championship | Gameweek 36

Mar 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 1
Swansea

Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 1-1 Swansea City

Although these two clubs will expect to remain in the Championship, the stakes are high for both sides, who are aware that defeat could lead to becoming embroiled in a relegation scrap. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a draw be played out at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Swansea City
50.42% ( 0.11)	23.82% ( -0.02)	25.76% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 56.36% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.92% (

0.04)

45.07% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.57% (

0.04)

67.42% (

-0.04)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

0.06)

17.93% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.24% (

0.1)

48.75% (

-0.09)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68% (

-0.04)

31.32% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.32% (

-0.05)

67.67% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Watford 50.42%

Swansea City 25.76%

Draw 23.81%

Watford	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.42%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.81%	0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.76%