Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 14.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Independiente win it was 2-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	New England Revolution
14.66% ( 0.65)	18.42% ( 0.19)	66.92% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 56.26% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.68% (

0.55)

36.32% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.55% (

0.6)

58.45% (

-0.6)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.54% (

1.24)

37.46% (

-1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75% (

1.19)

74.25% (

-1.19)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.97% (

-0.05)

10.03% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.9% (

-0.12)

33.1% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Independiente 14.66%

New England Revolution 66.92%

Draw 18.42%

Independiente	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.07% Total : 14.66%	1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.42%	0-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 7.62% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 7.48% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.38% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 2.01% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.08% Total : 66.92%