CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade Municipal Pierre-Aliker

French Guiana
3 - 0
Bermuda

Ajaiso (29'), Baal (49'), Sarrucco (90+4')
Marmot (12'), Charlec (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Todd (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between French Guiana and Bermuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

French Guiana

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Belize 1-0 French Guiana
Saturday, November 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

Bermuda

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Bermuda 3-1 St Vincent & Gr.
Friday, November 17 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a French Guiana win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a French Guiana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bermuda win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that French Guiana would win this match.

Result
French Guiana	Draw	Bermuda
61.53% ( 0.32)	20.16% ( -0.1)	18.31% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 58.36% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.49% (

0.1)

37.5% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.26% (

0.11)

59.73% (

-0.11)

French Guiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.23% (

0.11)

11.76% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.07% (

0.25)

36.93% (

-0.25)

Bermuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13% (

-0.17)

33.86% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46% (

-0.19)

70.53% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

French Guiana 61.53%

Bermuda 18.31%

Draw 20.16%

French Guiana	Draw	Bermuda
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.23% Total : 61.53%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.16%	1-2 @ 5% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 18.31%