Copa do Brasil | Final | 1st Leg

Oct 13, 2022 at 1.45am UK

Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)

Corinthians
0 - 0
Flamengo

(agg: -)

Gomes (22'), Luiz (56')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Corinthians and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, October 9 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Flamengo

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Flamengo
Saturday, October 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Corinthians 1-1 Flamengo

Flamengo have never lost the opening fixture in their seven previous appearances in the final of this competition, though they are going up against one of the best Brazilian sides at home on Wednesday. Both of these coaches are aggressive in their tactics and have match winners who they can depend on, but we are predicting a draw because these opening games tend to be cagier affairs with less urgency, knowing that this is a two-leg final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Flamengo
36.79% ( 0.03)	27.42% ( -0.01)	35.79% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.57% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.95% (

0.03)

56.05% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.87% (

0.02)

77.13% (

-0.02)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72% (

0.03)

29.28% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75% (

0.04)

65.24% (

-0.04)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

-0)

29.9% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

-0)

66% (

Score Analysis

Corinthians 36.79%

Flamengo 35.79%

Draw 27.42%

Corinthians	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.79%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.79%