Copa do Brasil | Final | 1st Leg

Sep 17, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
0 - 1
Sao Paulo

(Sao Paulo win 2-1 on aggregate)

Pereira (14'), Hugo (36')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Calleri (45+1')
Alisson (38')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Final clash between Flamengo and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Flamengo 0-3 Athletico PR
Thursday, September 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, September 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Sao Paulo
51.45% ( 0.55)	24.42% ( -0.29)	24.13% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.93% (

0.97)

49.06% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.85% (

0.87)

71.14% (

-0.87)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.94% (

0.6)

19.06% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.34% (

0.98)

50.65% (

-0.99)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16% (

0.3)

34.83% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.43% (

0.31)

71.57% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 51.44%

Sao Paulo 24.13%

Draw 24.41%

Flamengo	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 51.44%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 7% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.13%