Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 18, 2022 at 1.30am UK

9 de Octubre
2 - 3
Guairena

Da Luz (7'), Stephens (75')
Torres (14'), Pinos (85'), Da Luz (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Otazu (52' pen., 62'), Maciel (90+5')
Ayala (37'), Salinas (47'), Santacruz (48'), Gimenez (57'), Villagra (66'), Escobar (81')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between 9 de Octubre and Guairena.

Form, Standings, Stats

9 de Octubre

Last Game: Internacional 5-1 9 de Octubre
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Guairena

Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 9 de Octubre win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Guairena had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a 9 de Octubre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Guairena win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
9 de Octubre	Draw	Guairena
44.61% ( 0)	26.44% ( -0.01)	28.95% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.51% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.1% (

0.03)

53.9% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64% (

0.02)

75.36% (

-0.02)

9 de Octubre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95% (

0.02)

24.05% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.67% (

0.02)

58.32% (

-0.02)

Guairena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.5% (

0.02)

33.5% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.87% (

0.02)

70.13% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

9 de Octubre 44.61%

Guairena 28.95%

Draw 26.43%

9 de Octubre	Draw	Guairena
1-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.61%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 28.95%