Atletico GO

3 - 1

Sao Paulo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 43.53%. A draw had a probability of 33.1% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (6.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.01%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.