Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Botafogo2 - 1Guarani
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 4-1 Coritiba
Sunday, July 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Guarani 2-0 Huracan
Thursday, June 29 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, June 29 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Botafogo 2-0 Guarani
Fogo seem to be putting their primary focus on the domestic campaign, but they are as good defensively as anyone in South America, and their overall depth should be enough to earn them an opening leg victory this week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 10.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.03%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
Result | ||
Botafogo | Draw | Guarani |
70.02% ( -0) | 19.81% ( -0.02) | 10.17% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 38.17% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.81% ( 0.11) | 53.19% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.24% ( 0.09) | 74.75% ( -0.1) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.9% ( 0.03) | 14.1% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.28% ( 0.07) | 41.72% ( -0.07) |
Guarani Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.44% ( 0.11) | 55.56% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.79% ( 0.06) | 88.21% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Botafogo 70.01%
Guarani 10.17%
Draw 19.81%
Botafogo | Draw | Guarani |
1-0 @ 15.34% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 15.03% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 70.01% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.81% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 10.17% |
How you voted: Botafogo vs Guarani
Botafogo
100%Draw
0.0%Guarani
0.0%19
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:41:31
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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