Cesar Vallejo already know their time in the Sudamericana is drawing to a close, but they should be able to put in a good display considering from impressive form in the Peruvian Primera Division. Magallanes are looking to fight off relegation domestically, but the Sudamericana is offering a chance to forget about the worries of the Chilean Primera Division for a night at least. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Magallanes had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Magallanes win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesar Vallejo would win this match.

Result
Cesar Vallejo	Draw	Magallanes
56% ( 0.29)	22.96% ( -0.14)	21.03% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 53.41% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.74% (

0.41)

46.26% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.45% (

0.38)

68.55% (

-0.38)

Cesar Vallejo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.66% (

0.25)

16.34% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.06% (

0.44)

45.93% (

-0.45)

Magallanes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.84% (

0.08)

36.16% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.06% (

0.08)

72.94% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Cesar Vallejo 56%

Magallanes 21.03%

Draw 22.96%

Cesar Vallejo	Draw	Magallanes
1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 56%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 21.03%