Experience may favour the Ecuadorians heading into this fixture, but Fortaleza have faced some stiff challenges domestically and at the Sudamericana this year, and we believe that will enable them to find that extra gear and eventually break down that stingy Quito backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6%).

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	LDU Quito
60.14% ( -0.01)	22.76%	17.1% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.37% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.09% (

0.01)

50.9% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.22% (

0.01)

72.78% (

-0.01)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45% (

16.54% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.69%

46.3% (

-0)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.76% (

0.02)

43.24% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.5% (

0.02)

79.49% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 60.13%

LDU Quito 17.1%

Draw 22.76%

Fortaleza	Draw	LDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.87% 2-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.87% Total : 60.13%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.76%	0-1 @ 6% 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 17.1%