Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Oriente Petrolero	Draw	Bragantino
30.53% ( -0.5)	25.34% ( 0.12)	44.12% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 54.81% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.28% (

-0.73)

48.71% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.17% (

-0.66)

70.82% (

0.66)

Oriente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.31% (

-0.7)

29.68% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.26% (

-0.86)

65.73% (

0.86)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

-0.13)

22.05% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.61% (

-0.2)

55.38% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Oriente Petrolero 30.53%

Bragantino 44.12%

Draw 25.34%

Oriente Petrolero	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.53%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.12%