Coppa Italia | Second Round

Oct 19, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Friuli

Udinese
2 - 3
Monza

Perez (49', 68')
Perez (78'), Deulofeu (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Valoti (45'), Molina (70'), Petagna (72')
Birindelli (26'), Bondo (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Monza and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Monza
Saturday, October 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Udinese 2-0 Monza

With their impressive form in the league, the expectation would be a win for Udinese. Even though Monza have improved, Udinese may be a test too far at this stage of their development. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Udinese win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Monza
35.46% ( 0.02)	25.06% ( 0)	39.47% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.41% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.94% (

-0.02)

46.05% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.64% (

-0.02)

68.35% (

0.02)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7% (

-0)

25.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.92% (

-0)

60.07% (

-0)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85% (

-0.02)

23.14% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.98% (

-0.03)

57.02% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Udinese 35.46%

Monza 39.48%

Draw 25.05%

Udinese	Draw	Monza
2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.46%	1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05%	1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.48%