Even with a heavily-rotated team and multiple teenagers starting on the Stade Bollaert-Delelis turf, PSG should comfortably avoid what would arguably be the most humiliating defeat in their history. Pays de Cassel will no doubt relish the opportunity to test their mettle against the 14-time winners and will travel home with their heads held high, but it ought to be damage limitation for the sixth-tier crop from the get-go. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 96%. A draw had a probability of 3.1% and a win for Pays de Cassel had a probability of 0.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-4 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.22%) and 0-5 (11.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.47%), while for a Pays de Cassel win it was 1-0 (0.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Pays de Cassel	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
0.91% ( 0.17)	3.1% ( 0.5)	96% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 34.41% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

86.35% (

-1.75)

13.65% (

1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

71.54% (

-2.9)

28.46% (

2.9)

Pays de Cassel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

34.82% (

0.62)

65.18% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.92% (

0.26)

93.08% (

-0.26)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.82% (

-0.23)

1.18% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

93.56% (

-1.03)

6.44% (

1.03)

Score Analysis

Pays de Cassel 0.91%

Paris Saint-Germain 95.98%

Draw 3.1%

Pays de Cassel	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
Other @ 0.91% Total : 0.91%	1-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.24) Other @ 1.63% Total : 3.1%	0-4 @ 12.45% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 11.22% ( 0.68) 0-5 @ 11.05% ( -0.34) 0-6 @ 8.17% ( -0.66) 0-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.79) 1-4 @ 5.33% ( 0.2) 0-7 @ 5.18% ( -0.69) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.39) 1-5 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) 1-6 @ 3.5% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.4) 0-8 @ 2.87% ( -0.54) 1-7 @ 2.22% ( -0.24) 0-9 @ 1.42% ( -0.35) 1-8 @ 1.23% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.11) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.36% Total : 95.98%