We expect Mainz to build on a professional performance in Bremen at the weekend by securing another important victory away from home. Lubeck are likely to make it difficult for Svensson's side, who should have too much quality and discipline to succumb to a shock defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Lubeck had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Lubeck win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Lubeck	Draw	Mainz 05
32.36% ( 0.01)	25.25% ( 0)	42.39% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.94% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.4% (

-0.01)

47.6% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.19% (

-0.01)

69.8% (

Lubeck Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

27.92% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

63.54% (

-0.01)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61% (

-0.01)

22.39% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.1% (

-0.02)

55.89% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Lubeck 32.36%

Mainz 05 42.39%

Draw 25.24%

Lubeck	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.36%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.39%