EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
2 - 2
Colchester

Colwill (19'), Etete (35')
Colwill (78')

FT
(aet)

Akinde (40'), Taylor (44')
Garner (79'), Greenidge (90+7')
Tovide (89')

Cardiff win 2-0 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Cardiff City and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Cardiff
Sunday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 0-2 Mansfield
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

We say: Cardiff City 2-0 Colchester United

Although they were denied all three points by a last-minute equaliser, Cardiff showed some very promising signs against Leeds last week, and we expect them to breeze through on Wednesday night. Colchester were very poor in League Two last season, and while it is difficult to gauge whether they have improved since then, they are unlikely to win away against a team two divisions above them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%).

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Colchester United
41.1% ( 0.02)	27.23% ( 0)	31.66% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.39% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.08% (

-0.02)

55.92% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.97% (

-0.02)

77.02% (

0.02)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.24% (

-0)

26.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.96% (

-0)

62.03% (

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.43% (

-0.02)

32.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

-0.03)

69.1% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 41.1%

Colchester United 31.66%

Draw 27.22%

Cardiff City	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.1%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.22%	0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.66%