EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 2
Blackpool

Forsyth (55')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Beesley (7', 32')
Trybull (84'), O'Donnell (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Derby County and Blackpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Blackpool

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Blackpool
50.49% ( -0.13)	24.4% ( 0.03)	25.1% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 53.81% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.85% (

-0.06)

48.14% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.7% (

-0.05)

70.3% (

0.05)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.92% (

-0.07)

19.08% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.31% (

-0.12)

50.69% (

0.12)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.5% (

0.05)

33.5% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.87% (

0.05)

70.13% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Derby County 50.49%

Blackpool 25.1%

Draw 24.4%

Derby County	Draw	Blackpool
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.49%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.1%