EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Deepdale (Preston)

Preston
2 - 3
Salford City

Woodburn (44'), Holmes (50')
Holmes (50'), Best (90+7')

FT
(aet)

McLennan (5', 38')
McLennan (27'), Cairns (80')

Salford City win 4-2 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Preston North End and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Preston
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salford City

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Salford City
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We say: Preston North End 1-0 Salford City

With both managers expected to make plenty of changes for this cup tie, Preston should be able to keep their League Two opponents at arm's length for the majority of the encounter. Although Lowe's side clearly lack depth in offensive areas, they are generally very strong defensively and we can envisage them calling upon their solidity to secure a tight win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Salford City
40.92% ( -0)	25.42% ( 0)	33.66% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.8% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.02% (

-0.01)

47.97% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.85% (

-0.01)

70.15% (

0.01)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73% (

-0)

23.27% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8% (

-0.01)

57.19% (

0.01)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0)

27.28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28% (

-0.01)

62.72% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Preston North End 40.92%

Salford City 33.66%

Draw 25.41%

Preston North End	Draw	Salford City
1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.92%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.66%