EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
3 - 0
Northampton

Piroe (10', 53'), Ginnelly (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pinnock (57')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Swansea City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Swansea City 1-0 Northampton Town

Swansea will not be at full strength for this match, but the same can also be said for Northampton, who will be more focused on League One matters. We are not expecting a classic on Tuesday evening but believe that Swansea will be able to navigate their way into the next round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Northampton Town
45.55% ( -0.67)	24.69% ( 0.11)	29.76% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 56.56% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77% (

-0.21)

46.23% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.47% (

-0.2)

68.52% (

0.19)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.62% (

-0.37)

20.38% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.21% (

-0.59)

52.79% (

0.59)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

0.28)

28.96% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

0.34)

64.85% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 45.55%

Northampton Town 29.76%

Draw 24.69%

Swansea City	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.55%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.76%