EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 12, 2023 at 7pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
2 - 0
Cambridge

Katongo (19'), Mason-Clark (54')
Burrows (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kachunga (61'), McConnell (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Peterborough United and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Peterborough
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Reading
Monday, September 4 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Peterborough United 1-0 Cambridge United

Cambridge United's start to the season indicates they may not be involved in a relegation battle this season, but it is a tall order to expect them to take anything from Tuesday's game. Last season's play-off semi-finalists should be able to kick off their EFL Trophy campaign with a victory on home soil, although it will depend on how seriously they are planning to take the competition.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Cambridge United
50.72% ( -0.71)	23.67% ( 0.22)	25.61% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 56.71% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.45% (

-0.54)

44.55% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.08% (

-0.53)

66.92% (

0.53)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.38% (

-0.47)

17.62% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.78% (

-0.82)

48.22% (

0.83)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.84% (

0.11)

31.16% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.51% (

0.12)

67.49% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 50.72%

Cambridge United 25.61%

Draw 23.67%

Peterborough United	Draw	Cambridge United
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.73% Total : 50.72%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.83% Total : 25.61%