EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Walton Road Stadium

Sutton
0 - 0
Crawley

Angol (71')

FT
(aet)

Khaleel (12'), Roles (76')

Sutton win 5-4 on penalties

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Sutton United and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Sutton 4-0 Walsall
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Crawley Town
41.81% ( 1.55)	25.76% ( -0.78)	32.43% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

2.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.22% (

3.04)

49.78% (

-3.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.21% (

2.66)

71.78% (

-2.66)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

2.17)

23.62% (

-2.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.3% (

3.03)

57.7% (

-3.03)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.05% (

28.95% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.17% (

1.23)

64.83% (

-1.23)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 41.81%

Crawley Town 32.43%

Draw 25.76%

Sutton United	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.59) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.38) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.81%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.89) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.83) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.43%