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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Twente |
46.04% ( -0.03) | 22.56% ( 0.03) | 31.4% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 65.16% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.66% ( -0.13) | 35.34% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.63% ( -0.14) | 57.37% ( 0.14) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.12% ( -0.06) | 15.88% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.9% ( -0.11) | 45.1% ( 0.11) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.46% ( -0.06) | 22.54% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.88% ( -0.09) | 56.12% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 31.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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