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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 1-0 (4.92%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
42.17% ( 0.86) | 21.69% ( -0.13) | 36.13% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 70.33% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.69% ( 0.53) | 29.31% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.64% ( 0.64) | 50.35% ( -0.64) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.08% ( 0.54) | 14.91% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.7% ( 1.01) | 43.29% ( -1.01) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.66% ( -0.08) | 17.33% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.28% ( -0.15) | 47.71% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) 4-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.37% Total : 42.17% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.19% Total : 36.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |