Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Celje3 - 4Guimaraes
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Celje and Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aluminij 2-2 Celje
Sunday, July 23 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Sunday, July 23 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Wolves
Sunday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Sunday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Celje had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Celje | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.2% ( 0.37) | 24.73% ( -0.01) | 46.07% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.29% ( 0.23) | 46.71% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.02% ( 0.22) | 68.97% ( -0.22) |
Celje Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.41% ( 0.38) | 29.59% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.37% ( 0.46) | 65.62% ( -0.46) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.65% ( -0.06) | 20.35% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.25% ( -0.1) | 52.75% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Celje 29.2%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.07%
Draw 24.73%
Celje | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 46.07% |
How you voted: Celje vs Guimaraes
Celje
16.7%Draw
0.0%Vitoria de Guimaraes
83.3%6
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 23:12:44
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1
Barcelona 'make opening bid' for Man United, Liverpool target
2
Liverpool transfer news: Reds star 'turns down' massive Al-Nassr offer
3
Erik ten Hag 'lays out three demands' for Man United contract
4
Arsenal 'add Champions League winner' to list of Ramsdale replacements
5
Chelsea 'remain in talks' to sign 20-year-old striker
6
Which teams will Man United face in pre-season? When will their preparations begin?
7
Bayern to move for Liverpool defender after Colwill blow?
8
Chelsea fans keen for two experienced players to leave in summer
9
Man United among teams 'chasing Watford midfielder'
10
Martinez lavishes praise on "unbelievable" Ronaldo
Sport News 24/7