UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
2 - 2
Aberdeen

Bande (16'), Hostikka (33')
Keskinen (86'), Lingman (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

MacDonald (41'), Lopes (56')
Barron (42'), Devlin (86')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between HJK Helsinki and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Aberdeen

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 Rangers
Sunday, November 26 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Aberdeen

With a draw having already been played out in the reverse fixture, the indication is that this could be another hard-fought encounter. For us, though, Aberdeen will be full of belief after the PAOK fixture, leading us to predict a narrow triumph for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
HJK Helsinki	Draw	Aberdeen
44.33% ( -0.04)	24.08% ( 0.01)	31.58% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 59.66% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.39% (

-0.05)

42.6% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.99% (

-0.05)

65.01% (

0.05)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.58% (

-0.04)

19.42% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.75% (

-0.06)

51.25% (

0.06)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03% (

-0.01)

25.96% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02% (

-0.02)

60.97% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

HJK Helsinki 44.33%

Aberdeen 31.58%

Draw 24.08%

HJK Helsinki	Draw	Aberdeen
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.33%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.58%