UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano
0 - 2
Besiktas

Espinoza (73'), Hajdari (76')
Steffen (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tosun (36'), Terzi (88')
Muleka (9'), Tiknaz (63'), Bulut (75'), Erhan Hekimoglu (75'), Zainutdinov (79')
Oxlade-Chamberlain (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Lugano and Besiktas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Lugano 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, December 10 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Besiktas

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Besiktas 1-3 Fenerbahce
Saturday, December 9 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Besiktas
28.2% ( 3.61)	23.34% ( 0.99)	48.45% ( -4.61)

Both teams to score 60.15% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.96% (

-1.57)

41.03% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.57% (

-1.61)

63.43% (

1.61)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6% (

1.85)

27.39% (

-1.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.13% (

2.33)

62.86% (

-2.34)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.84% (

-2.21)

17.15% (

2.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.6% (

-4.03)

47.39% (

4.03)

Score Analysis

Lugano 28.2%

Besiktas 48.45%

Draw 23.34%

Lugano	Draw	Besiktas
2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.67) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.2%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.59) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.71) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.47) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.49) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.21) Other @ 4.03% Total : 48.45%