	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Aberystwyth	0	nan
2	Bala Town	0	nan
3	Barry	0	nan
4	Caernarfon	0	nan
5	Cardiff MU	0	nan
6	Colwyn Bay	0	nan
7	Connah's Quay	0	nan
8	Haverfordwest	0	nan
9	Newtown	0	nan
10	Pen-y-Bont	0	nan
11	Pontypridd	0	nan
12	New Saints	0	nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Santa Coloma win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Santa Coloma win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-Bont	Draw	FC Santa Coloma
35.7% ( 0.69)	25.32% ( 0.19)	38.98% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.77% (

-0.77)

47.23% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.54% (

-0.72)

69.46% (

0.72)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.28% (

0.04)

25.72% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.36% (

0.05)

60.64% (

-0.05)

FC Santa Coloma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

-0.79)

23.93% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.85% (

-1.14)

58.14% (

1.14)

Score Analysis

Pen-y-Bont 35.7%

FC Santa Coloma 38.98%

Draw 25.32%

Pen-y-Bont	Draw	FC Santa Coloma
1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 35.7%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.98%