UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de Geneve

Servette
0 - 0
Ludogorets

(Servette win 1-0 on aggregate)

Mazikou (24'), Ondoua (37'), Guillemenot (54')

Sonko-Sundberg (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Servette and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Servette

All competitions

Last Game: Yverdon Sport 2-1 Servette
Sunday, February 11 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Ludogorets Razgrad

All competitions

Last Game: Ludogorets 1-0 Nordsjaelland
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Young Boys	50	2.17	Nsame
2	Winterthur	42	1.83	Ltaief
3	Lugano	42	1.83	Celar
4	Servette	40	1.74	Bedia
5	FC Zurich	35	1.52	Okita
6	St Gallen	35	1.52	Akolo
7	Luzern	32	1.39	Meyer
8	Yverdon Sport	31	1.35	Carlos
9	Grasshopper	29	1.26	Ndenge
10	Lausanne	29	1.26	Sene
11	Basel	28	1.22	Barry
12	SLO	25	1.09	Gharbi

We said: Servette 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad

This is a very difficult tie, giving how both teams have fared recently. The hosts won just one of the home games during the Europa League group stage while the visitors lost two of their three away games in the Conference League group stage. We think a score draw will play out in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Servette	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
44.15% ( 0.03)	23.02% ( 0)	32.82% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 64.08% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.97% (

-0.04)

37.03% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.78% (

-0.05)

59.22% (

0.04)

Servette Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74% (

-0.01)

17.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.43% (

-0.01)

47.57% (

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.45% (

-0.05)

22.55% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.86% (

-0.07)

56.14% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Servette 44.15%

Ludogorets Razgrad 32.82%

Draw 23.02%

Servette	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 4.14% Total : 44.15%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 32.82%