Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valmiera win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Tre Penne had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valmiera win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Tre Penne win it was 2-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valmiera would win this match.

Result
Tre Penne	Draw	Valmiera
16.01% ( 0.04)	19.76% ( 0.02)	64.22% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 54.75% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.12% (

39.88% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.76% (

0.01)

62.24% (

-0)

Tre Penne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.04% (

0.05)

37.96% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.27% (

0.05)

74.73% (

-0.05)

Valmiera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.26% (

-0.01)

11.74% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.11% (

-0.03)

36.89% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Tre Penne 16.01%

Valmiera 64.22%

Draw 19.76%

Tre Penne	Draw	Valmiera
2-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.01%	1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.76%	0-2 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.07% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 64.22%