Europa League

Europa League | First Qualifying Round

Aug 27, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
6 - 0
NSI Runavik

Ferguson (37'), Main (43'), Hedges (50', 59', 87' pen.), Hayes (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Troest Davidsen (34'), Hojgaard (88')

Aberdeen skipper Joe Lewis: 'Reaching Europa League group stage has to be the aim'

The Dons have tried and failed six times to reach the group stages under Derek McInnes, not even making it as far as the play-offs.

Aug 28, 15:08

Aberdeen boss Derek McInnes pictured in April 2019

Derek McInnes delighted with Aberdeen "intensity" in Europa League success

The Dons triumphed 6-0 over NSI Runavik on Thursday.

Aug 27, 23:16

The Match

Match Report

The Dons are through to the Europa League second qualifying round.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for NSI Runavik had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest NSI Runavik win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	NSI Runavik
38.42%	25.87%	35.7%

Both teams to score 54.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.34%

49.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.32%

71.67%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67%

25.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89%

60.1%

NSI Runavik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14%

26.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.83%

62.17%

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 38.42%

NSI Runavik 35.7%

Draw 25.87%

Aberdeen	Draw	NSI Runavik
1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.42%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.7%