Europa League

Europa League | First Qualifying Round

Aug 27, 2020 at 6pm UK

Mikheil Meskhis Sakhelobis Stadionis Satadarigo Moedani

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
2 - 1
U Craiova

Sikharulidze (57'), Oulad Omar (61')
Ubilava (13')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Baiaram (90+4')
Vatajelu (38'), Koljic (48'), Acka (54'), Constantin (62'), Screciu (69')

Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Lokomotiv Tbilisi and Universitatea Craiova.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lokomotivi Tbilisi had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.69%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Lokomotivi Tbilisi win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv Tbilisi	Draw	Universitatea Craiova
17.38%	23.37%	59.25%

Both teams to score 46.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19%

52.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56%

74.43%

Lokomotiv Tbilisi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.98%

44.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.86%

80.14%

Universitatea Craiova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.46%

17.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.94%

48.06%

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Tbilisi 17.38%

Universitatea Craiova 59.23%

Draw 23.36%

Lokomotiv Tbilisi	Draw	Universitatea Craiova
1-0 @ 6.33% 2-1 @ 4.52% 2-0 @ 2.6% 3-1 @ 1.24% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.61% Total : 17.38%	1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.36%	0-1 @ 13.43% 0-2 @ 11.69% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-3 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 5.57% 0-4 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-5 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 59.23%