Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
2 - 0
Arsenal

Veerman (56'), de Jong (63')
Mwene (67'), Simons (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tierney (58'), Martinelli (67'), Jesus (79'), Xhaka (81')

Lacklustre Arsenal deservedly beaten by PSV in Europa League

Arsenal miss the chance to seal top spot in Europa League Group A as they suffer a deserved 2-0 loss to PSV Eindhoven at the Philips Stadion.

Oct 27, 19:35

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Groningen 4-2 PSV
Sunday, October 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Arsenal
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Arsenal

Whether it was the intimidating Emirates atmosphere or fear of committing too many bodies forwards against a free-flowing Arsenal, PSV's attacking prowess was non-existent last week, but it should be a different story at their Philips Stadion fortress. Given their repeated failures to translate their dominance into goals in recent weeks, we are struggling to back an altered Arsenal side to claim all three points here, but Arteta's men should hang on for the draw they need to seal their spot in the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 39.73% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.41%) and 1-3 (4.79%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Arsenal
39.73% ( -0.08)	19.3% ( -0.02)	40.96% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 80.49% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

83.19% (

0.11)

16.81% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

66.6% (

0.16)

33.4% (

-0.16)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.54% (

0.03)

10.46% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.93% (

0.05)

34.07% (

-0.05)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.89% (

0.07)

10.11% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.72% (

0.17)

33.28% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 39.73%

Arsenal 40.97%

Draw 19.3%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 3.01% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 5-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.82% Total : 39.73%	2-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 4-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.3%	1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0) 2-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0) 3-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.05% Total : 40.97%