Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2023 at 5pm UK

Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Georgia
2 - 2
Scotland

Kvaratskhelia (15', 57')
Kverkvelia (59'), Kochorashvili (82'), Kvaratskhelia (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McTominay (49'), Shankland (90+3')
Patterson (8'), Christie (37'), Armstrong (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Georgia and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Georgia 4-0 Cyprus
Sunday, October 15 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	6	16	15
2	Scotland	6	9	15
3	Norway	7	2	10
4	Georgia	6	-4	7
5	Cyprus	7	-23	0

Scotland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: France 4-1 Scotland
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	6	16	15
2	Scotland	6	9	15
3	Norway	7	2	10
4	Georgia	6	-4	7
5	Cyprus	7	-23	0

With Adams watching on from the medical room and a distinct lack of wide defenders, Scotland could be fighting an uphill battle to make it two for two against Georgia, whose defence-heavy setup should prove difficult to penetrate on home soil. Clarke's side have much more on the line than Sagnol's men, who are enjoying a simple cruise to the playoffs, but the Crusaders should not take their foot off the gas at home and have the wherewithal to restrict Scotland to just the one point on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 14.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-2 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Georgia	Draw	Scotland
67.59% ( 0.03)	17.91% ( -0.01)	14.5% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.78% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.82% (

0.03)

34.18% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.93% (

0.03)

56.07% (

-0.03)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.7% (

0.02)

9.29% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.62% (

0.03)

31.37% (

-0.03)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.7% (

-0)

36.29% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.92% (

-0)

73.08% (

Score Analysis

Georgia 67.59%

Scotland 14.5%

Draw 17.91%

Georgia	Draw	Scotland
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 4.66% Total : 67.59%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.91%	1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 14.5%