Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 2pm UK

Puskas Arena (Budapest)

Hungary
3 - 1
Montenegro

Szoboszlai (66', 68'), Nagy (90+3')
Szoboszlai (26'), Gazdag (35'), Dibusz (78'), Nagy (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rubezic (36')
Camaj (13'), Savic (18'), Rubezic (34'), Vesovic (47'), Vujacic (70'), Raickovic (88'), Kuc (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Hungary and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Bulgaria 2-2 Hungary
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	7	7	15
2	Serbia	7	6	13
3	Montenegro	7	0	11
4	Lithuania	8	-6	6
5	Bulgaria	7	-7	3

Montenegro

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Montenegro 2-0 Lithuania
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	7	7	15
2	Serbia	7	6	13
3	Montenegro	7	0	11
4	Lithuania	8	-6	6
5	Bulgaria	7	-7	3

We said: Hungary 1-1 Montenegro

Perhaps taking their foot off the gas, Hungary may be restricted to a home draw in their final group fixture, having already sealed their spot at another Euros. By contrast, Montenegro must go all-out to take three points and hope that will prove enough for qualification; however, the plucky outsiders are set to come up short. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.

Result
Hungary	Draw	Montenegro
45.71% ( 0.06)	27.08% ( -0.04)	27.21% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.55% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.81% (

0.14)

57.19% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.96% (

0.11)

78.04% (

-0.11)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

0.09)

24.97% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.38% (

0.13)

59.62% (

-0.12)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.37% (

0.06)

36.63% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

0.06)

73.42% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Hungary 45.7%

Montenegro 27.21%

Draw 27.08%

Hungary	Draw	Montenegro
1-0 @ 12.69% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.7%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.21%