Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Portugal2 - 0Iceland
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bergmann Johannesson (28'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (32'), Thor Willumsson (46'), Berg Gudmundsson (54')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Portugal and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in their Euro 2024 qualification clash with Iceland.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Portugal
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 9 | 32 | 27 |
2 | Slovakia | 9 | 8 | 19 |
3 | Luxembourg | 9 | -7 | 14 |
4 | Iceland | 9 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 9 | -10 | 9 |
6 | Liechtenstein | 9 | -26 | 0 |
Last Game: Slovakia 4-2 Iceland
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 9 | 32 | 27 |
2 | Slovakia | 9 | 8 | 19 |
3 | Luxembourg | 9 | -7 | 14 |
4 | Iceland | 9 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 9 | -10 | 9 |
6 | Liechtenstein | 9 | -26 | 0 |
We said: Portugal 2-0 Iceland
The pressure is off for both teams, so it should be an open and entertaining game of football. Iceland are capable of making it a difficult match for Portugal, but the home side have been so strong in this section, and we would be very surprised if they were unable to make it 10 straight victories. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 10.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Portugal in this match.
Result | ||
Portugal | Draw | Iceland |
74.36% ( 0.05) | 15.5% ( -0.02) | 10.15% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.94% ( -0.01) | 34.06% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.06% ( -0) | 55.94% ( 0) |
Portugal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.22% ( 0.01) | 7.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.35% ( 0.02) | 27.65% ( -0.02) |
Iceland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.91% ( -0.06) | 43.09% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.63% ( -0.05) | 79.37% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Portugal 74.36%
Iceland 10.15%
Draw 15.5%
Portugal | Draw | Iceland |
2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.83% 4-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 74.36% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.5% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 10.15% |
How you voted: Portugal vs Iceland
Portugal
88.9%Draw
9.5%Iceland
1.6%63
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Iceland
0-1
Portugal
Gudmundsson (45'), Finnbogason (45+1'), Thor Willumsson (70'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (74')
Thor Willumsson (80')
Jun 14, 2016 8pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 19:28:20
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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