Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Kybunpark

Switzerland
1 - 1
Kosovo

Vargas (47')
Xhaka (58'), Zakaria (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hyseni (82')
Bytyqi (16'), Rashani (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Switzerland and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland

All competitions

Last Game: Israel 1-1 Switzerland
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	8	12	16
2	Romania	8	9	16
3	Israel	8	-1	12
4	Kosovo	8	1	10
5	Belarus	8	-7	6
6	Andorra	8	-14	2

Kosovo

All competitions

Last Game: Kosovo 1-0 Israel
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	8	12	16
2	Romania	8	9	16
3	Israel	8	-1	12
4	Kosovo	8	1	10
5	Belarus	8	-7	6
6	Andorra	8	-14	2

We said: Switzerland 2-1 Kosovo

There is pressure on both nations to claim all three points on Saturday in their quest to qualify for Euro 2024, and while Switzerland will feel somewhat deflated after dropping two points in midweek, Kosovo head to Basel in high spirits following their success over Israel. There has been little to separate these two teams in previous meetings, but Switzerland will be regarded as favourites on home soil and should ultimately have enough quality to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Switzerland	Draw	Kosovo
62.44% ( -0.06)	21.75% ( 0.03)	15.8% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.72% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.01% (

-0.05)

48.99% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92% (

-0.04)

71.08% (

0.04)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.88% (

-0.04)

15.12% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.31% (

-0.07)

43.69% (

0.07)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.23% (

0.01)

43.77% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.06% (

0.01)

79.94% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Switzerland 62.44%

Kosovo 15.8%

Draw 21.75%

Switzerland	Draw	Kosovo
1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.81% 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 62.44%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.75%	0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 15.8%