FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 0
Worthing

Newall (73'), Digie (87')
Thewlis (26'), Cantrill (33'), Digie (56'), Fewster (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Robinson (33'), Luer (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Alfreton Town and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Worthing

All competitions

Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Worthing
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Worthing
36.67%	24.15%	39.18%

Both teams to score 60.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.36%

41.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.97%

64.03%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38%

22.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.77%

56.23%

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.65%

21.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.68%

54.31%

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 36.67%

Worthing 39.18%

Draw 24.15%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Worthing
2-1 @ 8.24% 1-0 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.67%	1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.15%	1-2 @ 8.56% 0-1 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 4.4% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.18%