FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
4 - 0
Solihull

Santos (39'), Maghoma (52'), Forrester (69'), Charles (87')
Jerome (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Labadie (15'), Ardley (16'), Craig (42'), Osborne (80')
Osborne (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Solihull Moors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Solihull Moors

All competitions

Last Game: Solihull 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-0 Solihull Moors

Bolton have been easing past teams in League One in recent weeks and will be confident of doing the same against a Solihull side who play in the fifth tier. The Moors have failed to win on their travels since September, and we cannot envisage a cup upset at the Toughsheet Community Stadium this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 12.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Solihull Moors win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Solihull Moors
69.88%	17.41%	12.71%

Both teams to score 54.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.86%

36.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.75%

58.24%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.72%

9.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.66%

31.34%

Solihull Moors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.87%

40.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.23%

76.77%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 69.87%

Solihull Moors 12.71%

Draw 17.41%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Solihull Moors
2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 8.85% 3-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 7.61% 4-0 @ 4.96% 4-1 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.48% 5-0 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 2.07% 5-2 @ 0.98% 6-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.49% Total : 69.87%	1-1 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.39% 0-0 @ 3.72% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.41%	1-2 @ 3.69% 0-1 @ 3.4% 0-2 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.34% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.61% Total : 12.71%