FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
0 - 1
West Ham

Wissa (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Benrahma (79')
Dawson (73')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brentford and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Liverpool
Monday, January 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Ham United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-2 West Ham
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Brentford 1-2 West Ham United

While Brentford are classed as the clear favourites for this fixture, the prospect of changes being made should lead to a tight contest. With that in mind, we feel that the Hammers may edge this game, earning a result which could buy Moyes some time in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	West Ham United
31.68% ( 0.02)	24.39% ( 0.01)	43.93% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 58.6% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56% (

-0.05)

44% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.61% (

-0.05)

66.39% (

0.04)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.41% (

-0.01)

26.59% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.19% (

-0.01)

61.81% (

0.01)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.83% (

-0.04)

20.17% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.54% (

-0.06)

52.46% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Brentford 31.68%

West Ham United 43.93%

Draw 24.39%

Brentford	Draw	West Ham United
2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.68%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.39%	1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 43.93%